29 Jan 2002 - JHI Real Estate Limited -
IntroProperty management strategy needs to be conversant with a number of trends in the commercial property market.
Property management strategy needs to be conversant with a number of trends in the commercial property market. One of these is the urban growth dynamic and the manner in which this impacts on the growth and development of nodes and centers. There are micro risks and opportunities associated with each of these areas as well as macro-economic factors that affect their growth and performance – these need to be well understood.
JHI Real Estate Property Management Division cites office stock figures - a proxy of the nature of the growth of centers around the country. The following table gives one a sense of the growth of office markets outside of the major CBD’s in South Africa: In this 11 year period the decentralised office markets grew by an average of 260%.
Total suburban stock m²
DURBAN
PRETORIA
CAPE TOWN
JOHANNESBURG
1990
102,000
232,000
228,250
1,362,400
1991
131,325
669,688
269,375
1,626,825
1992
140,625
773,525
302,250
1,719,625
1993
144,158
796,200
432,775
2,914,248
1994
145,838
812,713
578,625
3,077,738
1995
175,525
831,325
628,975
3,233,100
1996
190,600
890,838
651,350
3,484,250
1997
216,225
944,725
665,550
3,771,820
1998
237,610
986,800
711,000
3,926,405
1999
269,320
699,075
725,699
3,553,089
2000
315,916
743,856
767,483
4,000,088
2001
340,702
959,165
801,547
4,666,629
In the space of about three years, nodes such as Umhlanga grew from around 63 000m² to 180 000m². In Johannesburg, areas such as Illovo and Bryanston grew from around 24 000m² and 59 000m² in the early 1990’s to over 124 000m² and 256 000m² respectively at present.
According to Jay Junkoon, property management director: Africa of JHI Real Estate, the rapid supply of commercial space has implications both spatially and in terms of market equilibrium.
“Property managers are required to ascertain how best to spread resources and staff, consideration being given to economies of scale and logistics. Technology naturally plays an important role in this regard”.